Let's get the good news out of the way. Liverpool have found someone foolish enough to pay good money for Emile
Heskey.
Now for the not-so-good news. Rather than jumping the gun before the deal was done, it was probably better to see what the outcome was of Thaksin Shinawatra's
£60m bid for a stake in Liverpool FC. Now it's true that Liverpool are in need of some cash in order to catch up with the Arsenals and Chelseas of this world. They also need a new manager, but that's a different story (right Max?), but it now appears as though the bid has been accepted and that raises a few points.
As a non-Liverpool fan it's easy to take the moral highground and say that it's a disgrace that they are selling part of the club to the Prime Minister who's personal human rights record is more than simply dubious. After all it's not my club up for grabs.
Steve Morgan's bid was laughable, as it completely undervalued the club as is it stands today. Let's have a look at the two bids by using Tactical Genius's excellent comparison off
pesfan.com.
Morgan’s Bid
Morgan’s proposal is a one-for-one rights issue, meaning that every current shareholder would be offered one new share for each one they own, at £1,750 each. There are around 35,000 shares at the moment. If everyone bought their full entitlement, the club would raise new funds of £61m. The club, post-issue, would be worth £122m.
Morgan's company would underwrite the issue, meaning that if any current shareholders did not buy their one-for-one entitlement, he would guarantee to buy it instead. Therefore his pledge of £61m was the maximum he would invest if no other shareholders bought their entitlement. (extremely unlikely) But if he did invest that much, it would give him more than half the shares in the expanded holding.
The only way that the other current shareholders would be able to hold on to their percentage stakes in the club would be to buy their entitlement of the issue. For David Moores, for example, this would mean injecting new funds of some £32m to remain the 51 per cent majority shareholder. (money it’s rumoured he doesn’t have) In addition to the one-for-one rights issue, Morgan also proposes to underwrite the issue of £12m of new shares, marketed at fans.
As this stands Morgan could gain a seat on the board, and a large controlling influence in the club for very little real capital outlay on his part, whilst giving the impression that he has invested a lot more in the club than he actually has.
Thaskin’s Bid
Thaksin's proposal, to buy 30 per cent of the club for around £60m, puts a current value on the club of £200m, which is evidently more attractive for the board. Accepting his offer would provide funding without any current shareholders having to delve into their own pockets.
The main sticking point seems to be that the board value the club at around 200million, and the Morgan bid will devalue the club. Morgan could get over this be offering to underwrite a much larger issue, but this would cost him more money for his stake in the club, and leaves a much larger chance that the whole issue will not be taken up.
If this happened, his company, Bridgemere Investments, would have to buy the shares (effectively he would buy them) and if he gets it wrong it could cost him a packet.
I would obviously prefer Morgan to buy into the club, all I’m saying is that if your house was worth £200, 000 and someone came along and said, "You give me another 32 grand, I’ll take a third of your house, and then it’ll be worth £122,000." What would you say?
A clear explantion there (thanks again to TG). So from a financial aspect, Liverpool would be better off if they accepted the bid from Thailand, but read the next paragraph and decide whether you'd want this man owning a substantial stake in your club.
"In January 2003, Shinawatra declared a popular 'war on drugs'. In the following two months, more than 2,000 people, including elderly people and small children, were killed. The authorities maintained, once again, that the majority of killings were carried out by drug dealers, but Amnesty International believes security forces were heavily implicated, and bemoans the lack of any proper investigation of what went on."
More flattering information on Thaksin can be found
here; the Guardian's Introduction to Thaksin Shinawatra.
So Liverpool fans. The money or the morality?